SKOG · Kalix, Swedish Lapland
Winter 2026–27 Outlook
When does winter arrive? Explore our current seasonal outlook from the first autumn flakes to the heart of the Arctic winter.
First snowfall
15–25 Oct
First flakes likely
Substantial snow
25 Oct–10 Nov
Meaningful accumulation
Reliable snow cover
Mid-November
Increasingly persistent
Explore the season
October 2026
The transition from autumn to winter begins.
The first snowflakes are most likely during the
second half of October, although early snow may melt.
First snow
Daytime
+3 to +8°C
Nighttime
−2 to +3°C
Snow probability
35%
Winter character
First flakes
November 2026
Snow becomes increasingly persistent. The first
substantial accumulation is most likely during
late October and early November.
Snow building
Daytime
−1 to +3°C
Nighttime
−5 to −1°C
Snow probability
70%
Winter character
Snow building
December 2026
A proper Lapland winter is expected to be established.
Snow cover should be present, although temporary milder
periods remain possible.
White winter
Daytime
−4 to 0°C
Nighttime
−10 to −5°C
Snow probability
82%
Winter character
White winter
January 2027
The heart of winter. Snow cover should be well established,
with the highest likelihood of genuinely Arctic cold periods.
Deep winter
Daytime
−7 to −2°C
Nighttime
−15 to −8°C
Snow probability
88%
Winter character
Deep winter
February 2027
Deep winter continues, while daylight begins returning.
Snow remains highly reliable and cold spells remain possible.
Snowy & cold
Daytime
−6 to −1°C
Nighttime
−14 to −7°C
Snow probability
86%
Winter character
Deep winter
March 2027
Winter slowly begins to loosen its grip. Snow should remain
abundant, while longer days bring increasingly frequent
daytime thawing.
Winter → Spring
Daytime
−2 to +5°C
Nighttime
−8 to 0°C
Snow probability
65%
Winter character
Winter → Spring
Seasonal outlooks describe the most likely conditions rather than
exact daily weather. The outlook will become more precise as winter
approaches. Temperature ranges combine current seasonal signals
with historical climate patterns for Kalix.